Daily Result: £580.53
Just a quick update tonight as I'm knackered and have to be up early to travel tomorrow. Shame as I'll miss day one of the second test between South Africa and New Zealand but sure I'll be able to catch up with it as the game progresses.
Had a look in on the 4th ODI between India and Pakistan today. India won to wrap the series up and I managed to make the £580 or so on the back of them. Wasn't a good game for me to trade though - in fact I've not particularly enjoyed any of the current series between the two that I've done. Been quite tricky games to trade in places.
Still, not every game can go the way you want it too and I'm more than happy with the day's profit. Pakistan batted first and posted 255. Couldn't make my mind up how good that was. Thought it could be enough to win, probably wouldn't be but didn't merit India, even with a strengthened batting line up, at 1.6x ish. Decided to see what the ball was doing in the run chase before getting involved further and was then treated to an awesome display of shots from Sachin Tendulkar.
He was finally out for 97 - the sixth time he's been out in the 90s this year - but by then the Indian's were in a winning position, their price had shrunk and I'd been involved again more than a few times. Was very cautious about my involvement though. Just didn't feel comfortable enough to get involved too heavily so didn't. India eventually wrapped up a fairly comfortable 6 wicket victory with 21 balls left clinching the series in the process.
Will probably look in on the 5th ODI on Sunday. In the meantime will be keeping an eye on the two tests about to start. Was tempted to back Australia in the 2nd Australia v Sri Lanka match but have made a small lay of the draw again instead.
Not got a position in the second South Africa v New Zealand test yet. Started getting a headache staring over rain radars earlier. Pretty sure it's a South African win, and was tempted to back them rather than lay the draw, but have decided to leave it for now until I can look it again with a fresh head. Convinced their will be weather interruptions. Just can't decide if it will make much difference to the result. Best of luck if you have a position already. :-)
2 comments:
hey bft, it's anteposta here. do you think we could compare briefnotes on the ind-pak game, so i could see where you made £, and you could see where i busted my arse to get green on india lol?
also, could i ask why people lay the draw as a tactic so often in tests?
sorry for all the qs, and apologies if it's trade secrets and i shouldn't stick my nose in, just trying to switch from winning poker to winning trading, and you seemed like you have it set.
Regards
Ante
Ante> Sure. My email address is at the bottom of the right hand column.
Laying the draw? Just spend some time looking at the stats. Compare how often the draw used to happen as a % of games played to now. Then ask yourself why? Time made up, bigger bats, quicker run rates etc. Once you've done that look at the odds!!
Of course you can't just lay the draw blind. All the usual factors must be considered but I just feel a lay of the draw is often good value. Has been for years now.
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