Sunday, March 25, 2007

World Cup roundup

Result since last update: £229.4

Well what a few days. Not so much on the results but the emerging Bob Woolmer story. Obviously it's been confirmed it was murder - he was strangled - and three members of the Pakistani tour party have been questioned for a second time. Former captain Inzamam-ul-Haq, caretaker coach Mushtaq Ahmed and manager Talat Ali.

Of course, that doesn't imply guilt and all three are currently on their way back to Pakistan. Rumours are wide spread that an arrest is imminent - of someone unconnceted to the squad - and everyone still seems more than a little stunned about what has happened. Not least of whom is me. As a scheming former tabloid hack with more hunches than Quasimodo my first reaction when I heard he was dead was a gambling fix related murder. Always looking for the dynamite story and all that. Told to behave by friends I conceded a stress-related heart attack was more likely and have watched gobsmacked as the story has unravelled. It's simply stunning. And equally tragic for the both Woolmer's family and cricket itself. I think we can all see where it might be leading in respect of future investigations on behalf of the ICC. At least in the short-term, with the security at the hotel, cctv and swipe card system, I'd imagine we can expect further swift progress in the murder investigation.

As for my trading it does seem a little out of place to discuss it all but life goes on. Made the £230 on the India v Sri Lanka and the Australia v South Africa matches. Had to play a patient game in the Indian match after screwing up towards the end of the Sri lankan innings. I traded expecting the usual flurry of runs only to see the wickets of the two set batsmen fall and the runs effectively dry up. Had a small red both sides by the end of the innings. Really didn't fancy India to make the chase, especially at the odds they were, but decided to simply be patient and wait for a team to get on top before getting involved further. Patience can often be the best policy in an increasingly volatile market where one mistake could make your position unretrievable. Especially in today's game where the weight of money for India to win throughout the match was simply incredible. Skewed the market somewhat and made it very difficult to oppose them until the dam finally broke and everyone realised that it was, in fact, Lanka's match. That's the movement I tried to catch and catch it I did with the fall of a couple quick Indian wickets. Was only involved for small stakes though and gave some of it back near the end when Dravid hit four boundaries in a row and I decided I'd have a profit on the match no matter what the result.

Missed the first half of the Australia v South Africa match. Bit disappointed as the Aussie innings was a run fest. But to be fair to the Saffers the start of their innings was too as they progressed to 220/1 while keeping with the run rate. The match turned though when Kallis came to the crease and Smith retired with cramp shortly after. Put simply Kallis's strike rate wasn't good enough. To put it in perspective every Aussie batsmen had a strike rate of 100 or better. As did the Saffers openers. Kallis crawled in with one of 76. He used up over 10 overs, increased the pressure on the his partner batsmen and in the end they cracked trying to play bigger and bigger shots as the required run rate increased.

Of course chasing 378 to win was always going to be a huge ask and Kallis can't cop all the blame for the defeat. But there's no doubt the South African innings lost impetus when he arrived and his strike rate was clearly lower than every batsman that had gone before him on the day. It's all very well playing to be their at the end but he wasn't, and at some point you have to say right the required run rate is getting too high now.

Looking forward Bangladesh play Bermuda later today. Bermuda will have the support of a billion Indians - India need Bermuda to win to stay in the competition - but somehow I don't feel even that much support will be enough and we'll enter the Super 8s in the unthinkable position of having neither India or Pakistan in the tournament. Not sure I'll be able to do much of the game as we're off to the wedding venue for amongs other stuff but good luck if you get involved.

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